Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 1:00 PM, 239 voters in 28 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 195,980 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 160,012 - 222,274). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
NOTE: There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in the data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included in the above count. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 1:00 PM | 2842 |
c(2.5% = 2478)
|
c(97.5% = 3258)
|
| 02 | 1:00 PM | 4528 |
c(2.5% = 3940)
|
c(97.5% = 5264)
|
| 03 | 1:00 PM | 2475 |
c(2.5% = 2056)
|
c(97.5% = 3101)
|
| 04 | 1:00 PM | 2465 |
c(2.5% = 2005)
|
c(97.5% = 2961)
|
| 05 | 1:00 PM | 6594 |
c(2.5% = 5840)
|
c(97.5% = 7579)
|
| 06 | 1:00 PM | 1676 |
c(2.5% = 1420)
|
c(97.5% = 2133)
|
| 07 | 1:00 PM | 1623 |
c(2.5% = 1118)
|
c(97.5% = 2031)
|
| 08 | 1:00 PM | 6178 |
c(2.5% = 5579)
|
c(97.5% = 7171)
|
| 09 | 1:00 PM | 2890 |
c(2.5% = 2563)
|
c(97.5% = 3581)
|
| 10 | 1:00 PM | 3572 |
c(2.5% = 3048)
|
c(97.5% = 4829)
|
| 11 | 1:00 PM | 1558 |
c(2.5% = 1262)
|
c(97.5% = 1912)
|
| 12 | 1:00 PM | 2702 |
c(2.5% = 2256)
|
c(97.5% = 3417)
|
| 13 | 1:00 PM | 2428 |
c(2.5% = 2004)
|
c(97.5% = 3043)
|
| 14 | 1:00 PM | 1086 |
c(2.5% = 927)
|
c(97.5% = 1337)
|
| 15 | 1:00 PM | 3239 |
c(2.5% = 2838)
|
c(97.5% = 3760)
|
| 16 | 1:00 PM | 1304 |
c(2.5% = 1029)
|
c(97.5% = 1506)
|
| 17 | 1:00 PM | 2991 |
c(2.5% = 2477)
|
c(97.5% = 3754)
|
| 18 | 1:00 PM | 2808 |
c(2.5% = 2409)
|
c(97.5% = 3128)
|
| 19 | 1:00 PM | 1212 |
c(2.5% = 884)
|
c(97.5% = 1475)
|
| 20 | 1:00 PM | 1235 |
c(2.5% = 960)
|
c(97.5% = 1418)
|
| 21 | 1:00 PM | 7236 |
c(2.5% = 6188)
|
c(97.5% = 8269)
|
| 22 | 1:00 PM | 3867 |
c(2.5% = 3432)
|
c(97.5% = 4857)
|
| 23 | 1:00 PM | 2300 |
c(2.5% = 1802)
|
c(97.5% = 2635)
|
| 24 | 1:00 PM | 1972 |
c(2.5% = 1601)
|
c(97.5% = 2209)
|
| 25 | 1:00 PM | 1918 |
c(2.5% = 1431)
|
c(97.5% = 2185)
|
| 26 | 1:00 PM | 2793 |
c(2.5% = 2401)
|
c(97.5% = 3117)
|
| 27 | 1:00 PM | 3689 |
c(2.5% = 2807)
|
c(97.5% = 4303)
|
| 28 | 1:00 PM | 1384 |
c(2.5% = 1100)
|
c(97.5% = 1640)
|
| 29 | 1:00 PM | 1419 |
c(2.5% = 1181)
|
c(97.5% = 1734)
|
| 30 | 1:00 PM | 2815 |
c(2.5% = 2552)
|
c(97.5% = 3376)
|
| 31 | 1:00 PM | 2519 |
c(2.5% = 2160)
|
c(97.5% = 2774)
|
| 32 | 1:00 PM | 2316 |
c(2.5% = 1842)
|
c(97.5% = 2619)
|
| 33 | 1:00 PM | 1934 |
c(2.5% = 1366)
|
c(97.5% = 2318)
|
| 34 | 1:00 PM | 5163 |
c(2.5% = 4367)
|
c(97.5% = 6452)
|
| 35 | 1:00 PM | 3530 |
c(2.5% = 2778)
|
c(97.5% = 3987)
|
| 36 | 1:00 PM | 4285 |
c(2.5% = 3630)
|
c(97.5% = 4971)
|
| 37 | 1:00 PM | 1486 |
c(2.5% = 1161)
|
c(97.5% = 1693)
|
| 38 | 1:00 PM | 2607 |
c(2.5% = 2188)
|
c(97.5% = 3045)
|
| 39 | 1:00 PM | 5377 |
c(2.5% = 4621)
|
c(97.5% = 6362)
|
| 40 | 1:00 PM | 5394 |
c(2.5% = 4425)
|
c(97.5% = 6042)
|
| 41 | 1:00 PM | 2120 |
c(2.5% = 1566)
|
c(97.5% = 2479)
|
| 42 | 1:00 PM | 2679 |
c(2.5% = 2068)
|
c(97.5% = 3066)
|
| 43 | 1:00 PM | 2062 |
c(2.5% = 1547)
|
c(97.5% = 2388)
|
| 44 | 1:00 PM | 1659 |
c(2.5% = 1349)
|
c(97.5% = 1980)
|
| 45 | 1:00 PM | 2421 |
c(2.5% = 1836)
|
c(97.5% = 2763)
|
| 46 | 1:00 PM | 3226 |
c(2.5% = 2881)
|
c(97.5% = 3953)
|
| 47 | 1:00 PM | 1026 |
c(2.5% = 833)
|
c(97.5% = 1157)
|
| 48 | 1:00 PM | 2415 |
c(2.5% = 1980)
|
c(97.5% = 2687)
|
| 49 | 1:00 PM | 3019 |
c(2.5% = 2523)
|
c(97.5% = 3598)
|
| 50 | 1:00 PM | 4207 |
c(2.5% = 3678)
|
c(97.5% = 5539)
|
| 51 | 1:00 PM | 2691 |
c(2.5% = 2271)
|
c(97.5% = 3382)
|
| 52 | 1:00 PM | 3333 |
c(2.5% = 2839)
|
c(97.5% = 4277)
|
| 53 | 1:00 PM | 2392 |
c(2.5% = 1824)
|
c(97.5% = 2670)
|
| 54 | 1:00 PM | 1729 |
c(2.5% = 1243)
|
c(97.5% = 2035)
|
| 55 | 1:00 PM | 2763 |
c(2.5% = 2046)
|
c(97.5% = 3279)
|
| 56 | 1:00 PM | 4059 |
c(2.5% = 3123)
|
c(97.5% = 4849)
|
| 57 | 1:00 PM | 3548 |
c(2.5% = 2807)
|
c(97.5% = 4130)
|
| 58 | 1:00 PM | 5936 |
c(2.5% = 4610)
|
c(97.5% = 6909)
|
| 59 | 1:00 PM | 2910 |
c(2.5% = 2447)
|
c(97.5% = 3687)
|
| 60 | 1:00 PM | 2305 |
c(2.5% = 1932)
|
c(97.5% = 2915)
|
| 61 | 1:00 PM | 3569 |
c(2.5% = 2948)
|
c(97.5% = 4074)
|
| 62 | 1:00 PM | 2578 |
c(2.5% = 1901)
|
c(97.5% = 2988)
|
| 63 | 1:00 PM | 3365 |
c(2.5% = 2776)
|
c(97.5% = 3972)
|
| 64 | 1:00 PM | 1881 |
c(2.5% = 1427)
|
c(97.5% = 2206)
|
| 65 | 1:00 PM | 2808 |
c(2.5% = 2267)
|
c(97.5% = 3317)
|
| 66 | 1:00 PM | 5872 |
c(2.5% = 4637)
|
c(97.5% = 6687)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
| 11:50 AM | 3610 | 112 |
| 11:50 AM | 0217 | 112 |
| 12:00 PM | 3637 | 153 |
| 12:00 PM | 3638 | 118 |
| 9:40 AM | 0218 | 88 |
| 12:05 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 9:20 AM | 0803 | 123 |
| 9:22 AM | 0803 | 125 |
| 11:00 AM | 0209 | 104 |
| 7:22 AM | 0506 | 9 |
| 12:01 PM | 0101 | 96 |
| 12:01 PM | 0103 | 164 |
| 12:00 PM | 2125 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0107 | 69 |
| 12:01 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0114 | 128 |
| 12:01 PM | 0115 | 191 |
| 12:01 PM | 0117 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0119 | 166 |
| 12:15 PM | 1503 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0121 | 160 |
| 10:00 AM | 2702 | 65 |
| 12:15 PM | 4903 | 216 |
| 7:01 AM | 1511 | 17 |
| 12:02 PM | 0526 | 182 |
| 12:29 PM | 3103 | 175 |
| 12:29 PM | 3113 | 151 |
| 10:47 AM | 1507 | 1 |
| 12:38 PM | 1716 | 80 |
| 11:00 AM | 6522 | 121 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 11:00 AM | 0120 | 127 |
| 12:23 PM | 6008 | 80 |
| 7:40 AM | 6509 | 22 |
| 8:00 AM | 4618 | 32 |
| 12:50 PM | 0525 | 121 |
| 12:02 PM | 0831 | 123 |
| 12:30 PM | 3007 | 161 |
| 1:00 PM | 0907 | 127 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions